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Alberta Politics

UCP’s new electoral map skews the rural-urban balance

Section 15 (1) of the Electoral Boundaries Commission Act states that the population of a proposed electoral division must not be more than 25% above and not more than 25% below the average population of all the proposed electoral divisions. Recent commissions have done a fairly good job usually not straying too far from the provincial average in most ridings but this rule does provide flexibility to draw maps that reflect effective representation and communities of interest.

The O’Ferrall map gives ridings outside of Calgary and Edmonton a population average about 6.73% lower than the provincial average, while ridings in Calgary will be 5.6% above and in Edmonton 6.0% above the average.

This raises concerns about effective representation, especially in a number of proposed ridings that will be quite close to 25% below the average when they are created for the 2027 election — and could easily drop even closer or below the 25% mark far before the map is redrawn again in 2035. A few ridings that caught my attention for being considerably below the provincial average are the new Lethbridge-Cardston riding at 22% below, Drumheller-Stettler and Peace River at 19% below, Drayton Valley-Devon at 18% below, and Blackfalds-Innisfail at 17% below.

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Alberta Politics

Defensive, hostile and sloppy: Alberta’s new electoral maps not a gerrymandering nightmare but not great

How would the UCP react if the NDP did this? Spoiler: Not well.

The process of redistributing Alberta’s electoral boundaries is normally a fairly boring administrative process but, like most things in Alberta politics these days, nothing is spared from political drama. The chaos machine chugs along.

The new maps proposed by an Advisory Panel to the Special Select Committee on Electoral Boundaries were tabled in the Legislature last week, with no shortage of controversy. These maps replaced the maps proposed by the bipartisan Electoral Boundaries Commission that were tossed aside by Premier Danielle Smith’s United Conservative Party government more than six months ago.

The Advisory Panel’s map aren’t the gerrymandering nightmare scenario that were proposed by the UCP minority on the boundaries commission earlier this year but these new maps come with their own set of problems. The biggest problem is that the government was so eager to intervene in what should be an arms-length process.

Unlike the last three decades of bipartisan boundaries commissions, which have been conducted with public hearings, public feedback and public transcripts, the Advisory Panel chaired by retired judge and UCP donor Brian O’Ferrall drew its map in private without any public input or feedback.

The Advisory Panel report included a map supported by O’Ferrall and the UCP appointed panelists, former Conservative MP Monte Solberg and emergency management strategist Darwin Durnie, and a minority opinion supported by the two NDP appointees, University of Alberta Law professor Gerard Kennedy and former Okotoks town councillor Brent Robinson (for the purpose of this column, I’m going to refer to the UCP-supported Advisory Panel map as the O’Ferrall map).

Read all about it on the Daveberta Substack

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Alberta Politics

Alberta NDP’s path to victory still goes through Calgary

Alberta NDP supporters are fond of saying their party would have won enough seats to form government if a few thousand votes had shifted their way in Calgary on May 29, 2023.

Putting aside that’s basically the same as saying “we would have won if more people voted for us,” it does reinforce just how big of a role that city’s voters played in the last provincial election — and how much they will matter again when Albertans go to the polls in 2027.

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Alberta Politics

Back to the drawing board! UCP scrapping Alberta boundaries commission and appointing MLA committee to draw new electoral map

Every day is a new round of chaos in Alberta politics

The United Conservative Party government surprised the opposition, political watchers, and probably a few of their own MLAs with plans to introduce a motion in the Legislature to scrap the final report of the bipartisan Alberta Electoral Boundaries Commission and replace it with an MLA committee and advisory panel tasked with redrawing riding boundaries ahead of the next provincial election.

The motion placed on the Order Paper by UCP Government House Leader Joseph Schow would create a Special Select Committee on Electoral Boundaries, composed of Leduc-Beaumont UCP MLA Brandon Lunty as chairperson and 3 UCP MLAs and 2 NDP MLAs. The MLA committee would oversee a new advisory panel that would include a government-appointed chairperson, two UCP-appointees and two NDP-appointees.

The government’s motion to create an entirely new process to draw the next electoral map comes soon after the boundaries commission, which is made up of a government-appointed chairperson, two UCP-nominated commissioners and two NDP-nominated commissioners, submitted its own final report to Legislative Assembly Speaker Ric McIver.

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