Categories
Alberta Liberals Alberta Politics Alberta Tories Ed Stelmach polls

albertans going shopping.

A poll released today by Cameron Strategy Group shows Ed Stelmach’s Tories dropping 22 points in the past 7 months to 32% support across Alberta (down from 54% in January 2007).

The poll also shows Stelmach’s Calgary approval ratings dropping from 52% in January to 38% in August (his disapproval rating in Calgary is 40%). Stelmach has also dropped from a January high of 58% to an August 45% in Edmonton, and a 59% to 50% drop in the other regions of Alberta (his disapproval ratings in Edmonton and other Alberta regions are 39% and 26%).

But what is most interesting is the dramatic increase of undecided voters from 18% to 36% in 7 months (with 39% of Calgarians and 36% of Edmontonians falling in the unsure or won’t vote category). From the report:

“The increase in undecided voters in the past 3 months in Alberta is unprecedented. A huge swath of the Alberta electorate is now without a firm voting intention, which means that dramatic changes in the electoral landscape are possible. The key question remains to be answered in the next 6 months is who will be successful in luring these newly undecided voters: the PC’s, who need to bring them back to the fold, or the Liberals, who have not yet shown signs of growth in voter support.”

Here are the regional breakdowns:

Provincial Voting Intentions (January support in brackets)
Province-wide

PC – 32% (54%)
Liberal – 16% (16%)
NDP – 11% (9%)
Alliance – 5% (3%)
Unsure/Won’t vote – 36% (18%)

Calgary
PC – 30% (59%)
Liberal – 17% (14%)
NDP – 8% (8%)
Alliance – 5% (2%)
Unsure/Won’t vote – 39% (16%)

Edmonton
PC – 27% (50%)
Liberal – 17% (16%)
NDP – 16% (12%)
Alliance – 5% (2%)
Unsure/Won’t vote – 36% (19%)

Other Alberta
PC – 41% (52%)
Liberal – 13% (18%)
NDP – 7% (6%)
Alliance – 7% (4%)
Unsure/Won’t vote – 31% (20%)

Another poll released by Cameron Strategy Group asked the question “Is the Stelmach Government Leading Alberta in the right direction?”

26% responded the ‘right’ direction, 30% responded the ‘wrong’ direction, and 44% were ‘unsure.’ When you compare these numbers to January 2007 when 54% responded ‘right,’ 10% responded ‘wrong,’ and 36% responded ‘undecided’ you can see a pretty substantial shift.

Though these numbers clearly don’t benifit any specific political party, the growing undecided pool of voters leaking from the Tory support hints that a fall 2007 election may start to look more likely (before the S.S. Stelmach sinks any further).

It also means that the Liberals and Tories are going to have to put in extra effort to woo the growing undecided vote in the run up to the next election.

Categories
AEUB Alberta Liberals Alberta Politics Alberta Tories Ed Stelmach

top ten.

I’m going to be taking a break from the world of blogging for the month of July, but I will be back in August.

Until then, I will leave you with the Ed Stelmach Top Ten List…

10. The $5,000 Fundraiser

9. Ed Stelmach’s first cabinet (90% male, 90% rural, 90% rookie)

8. Ed Stelmach’s second cabinet (89% male, 89% rural, 89% rookie).

7. The Stelmach-Oberg 2007 Budget.

6. Ed Stelmach agreeing with Calgary Elbow PC candidate Brian Heninger that he should be choked (Heninger was defeated by Alberta Liberal Craig Cheffins. Kevin Taft’s Alberta Liberals won Calgary Elbow after 36 years as a Tory stronghold).

5. Ed Stelmach picking a fight with Calgary Mayor Dave Bronconnier over municipal funding.

4. Ed Stelmach letting Education Minister Ron Liepert pick a fight with the Alberta Teachers’ Association over the unfunded pension liability during a bargaining year.

3. Ed Stelmach defending the AEUB for hiring four private investegators to spy on Albertans and their lawyers.

2. Ed Stelmach doing nearly nothing to address Alberta’s growing affordable housing crisis.

1. Ed Stelmach blaming market forces for his 19 point drop in support in Calgary.

There you have it folks, see you in August!

Categories
2008 Alberta Provincial Election Alberta Politics

nom season.

It’s that season again! Here’s a rundown on some nomination news for your reading pleasure…

With longtime PC MLA Denis Herard likely retiring at the next election, PGIB (not to be confused with POGOB) Director Craig Chandler is running for the Tory nomination in Calgary-Egmont. No word if any other Tories are challenging Chandler in Egmont.

It’s expected that up to 8-10 Calgary PC MLAs may retire at the next election. The list of suspected retirees includes Richard Magnus (Calgary North Hill), Hung Pham (Calgary Montrose), Moe Amery (Calgary East), Heather Forsyth (Calgary Fish Creek), Yvonne Fritz (Calgary Cross), and Shiraz Shariff (Calgary McCall) – most of who were elected in 1993. It will be interesting to see what type of candidates will line up to run for the Tories now that their party leader wears very short coattails in Calgary – which could result in some very competitive races in that city.

The Liberals have (or will soon have) nominated a number of candidates in Calgary, including Kent Hehr (Calgary Buffalo), Carole Oliver (Calgary Fort), Bill Kurtze (Calgary Hays), and Avalon Roberts (Calgary Glenmore). All current Alberta Liberal MLAs are candidates in the next election.

In Calgary West, prominent Calgary lawyer Virginia May will take on Tory Education Minister Ron Liepert as the Liberal candidate. May led the 2001 defamation lawsuit against former Treasurer Stockwell Day. Calgary West has represented by former Tory Premier Peter Lougheed (1967-1986), PC Elaine McCoy (1986-1993), Liberal Danny Dalla-Longa (1993-1997), PC Karen Kryczka (1997-2004), and Ron Liepert (2004-Present).

Calgary Fort also looks like its setting up to be an interesting race with the Liberals and NDP nominating their candidates early. The Liberals have nominated former CBE Trustee Carole Oliver and the New Democrats have nominated Parkland Institute Outreach Coordinator Julie Hrdlicka. Julie Hrdlicka will be a strong candidate for the New Dems in Calgary, but with 3% support in the recent Calgary Elbow by-election, Calgary New Dems may have to rely on personal appeal to make any sort of dent in Calgary. Tory MLA Wayne Cao has represented Calgary Fort since its creation in 1997.

Lethbridge West PC MLA Clint Dunford is also likely to not seek re-election. First elected in 1993, Dunford has been undergoing cancer treatment over the past year. Lethbridge West has seen tight races between the Tories and Liberals since 1993, so this should be one to watch. Lethbridge East is currently held by Liberal MLA and former Alderwoman Bridget Pastoor.

Many-time City Council candidate Ian Crawford and Federal Liberal organizer and former STARS Physician Dr. Raj Sherman are lining up for the PC nomination in Edmonton Meadowlark. Liberal Maurice Tougas defeated Tory Bob Maskell in 2004 by just over 100 votes, so this should be a race to watch. Meadowlark has elected MLAs from both the Tories and Liberals since its creation in 1971 including PC Gerald Amerongen (1971-1986), Liberal Grant Mitchell (1986-1993), Liberal Karen Leibovici (1993-2001), PC Bob Maskell (2001-2004), and Liberal Maurice Tougas (2004-Present).

Catholic School Trustee Janice Sarich is looking for the Tory nod in Edmonton Decore. If Sarich wins the nomination, she will take on Liberal MLA Bill Bonko – a former Public School Trustee. Edmonton Decore and its previous incarnations have gone Liberal since 1989.

In Edmonton McClung, a number of Tories are lining up to take on Liberal MLA Mo Elsalhy. Allison Boychuk and David Xiao are two candidates looking to carry the Tory flag against Elsalhy – who hasn’t stopped door knocking since he was first elected in 2004. Edmonton McClung was created in 1993 and elected Liberal MLAs Grant Mitchell (1993-1998), Nancy MacBeth (1998-2001), and Tory MLA Mark Norris (2001-2004).

Edmonton Castle Downs went for three judicial recounts following the last election, so you can bet a media spotlight will be hovering over a second showdown between Tory Thomas Lukaszuk and Liberal Chris Kibermanis.

In St. Albert, the three Tories are seeking the nomination: current St. Albert Mayor Paul Chalifoux, former Alderman Ken Allred, and former Council candidate Frances Badrock. Two of these candidates have Federal connections: Chalifoux ran for the Federal Liberals in 1968 and Allred ran for the Reform Party in 1988 (Allred’s nomination ads in the Saint City News make no mention of the PC Party). Chalifoux was narrowly elected as Mayor in 2004 after being defeated by former Mayor Richard Plain in 2001 (Chalifoux served one-term in the Mayor’s chair from 1998-2001 and then defeated Plain in 2004 in a return to the Mayor’s chair). St. Albert has elected MLA’s from three parties in the past 20 years including NDP MLA Bryan Strong (1986-1989), PC Richard Fowler (1989-1993), Liberal Len Bracko (1993-1997), PC Mary O’Neill (1997-2004), and Liberal Jack Flaherty (2004-Present).

In Edmonton Whitemud, former School Trustee Nancy Cavanaugh will be challenging Tory Health Minister Dave Hancock for the Liberals. Hancock is a strong MLA, but past results have shown that Edmonton Whitemud can be a competitive seat (In 1989, Liberal Percy Wickman defeated Tory Premier Don Getty in Edmonton Whitemud). Past MLA’s include Liberal Percy Wickman (1989-1993), Liberal Mike Percy (1993-1997), and Tory Dave Hancock (1997-Present).

On the Green side of the block, a number of candidates have nominated including former leader David Parker (Edmonton Centre), Adrian Cole (Edmonton Strathcona), and Sean Mah (Banff-Cochrane). Look for the Greens to solidify their position as third place in Calgary. The New Democrats have also nominated a handful of first-time candidates including Christina Gray (Edmonton Mill Woods), Deron Bilous (Edmonton Centre), and Rachel Notley (Edmonton Strathcona).

Categories
2008 Alberta Provincial Election Alberta Politics

2008 alberta provincial election candidates.

Here is a list of nominated provincial party candidates nominated to run in the 2008 Alberta general election on March 3, 2008.

I will try to keep this list as updated as possible as candidate nominations occur, but if you have knowledge of candidates that should be added (or that I’ve missed) feel free to post in the comment section below or email me at daveberta.ca@gmail.com.

This list was last updated at 3:32 P.M. on February 22, 2008.

2008 Alberta Provincial General Election Candidates (Margins of victory from previous election or by-election in brackets)

AIRDRIE-CHESTERMERE (PC 5209)
Alberta Liberal – John Burke
Green – David Brandreth
ND – Brian Young
PC- Rob Anderson
Wildrose Alliance – Jeff Willerton

ATHABASCA-REDWATER (PC 2452)
Alberta Liberal – Bill Bonko
Green – Phyllis Penchuk
ND – Peter Opryshko
PC – Jeff Johnson
Wildrose Alliance – Mike Radojcic

BANFF-COCHRANE (PC 2590)
Alberta Liberal – Patricia Robertson
Green – Dan Cunin
Independent – Zrinko R. Amerl
ND – Anne Wilson
PC – Janis Tarchuk*

BARRHEAD-MORINVILLE-WESTLOCK (PC 4756)
Alberta Liberal – Leslie Penny
Green – Dan Evans
ND – Rod Olstad
PC – Ken Kowalski*
SC – Carl Haugen

BATTLE RIVER-WAINWRIGHT (PC 4964)
Alberta Liberal – Horst Schreiber
Green – Will Munsey
ND – Doris Bannister
PC – Doug Griffiths*

BONNYVILLE-COLD LAKE (PC 2648)
Alberta Liberal – Justin Yassoub
Green – Jennifer Brown
ND – Jason Sloychuk
PC – Eugenia Leskiw

CALGARY-BOW (PC 2585)
Alberta Liberal – Greg Flanagan
Green – Randy Weeks
ND – Teale Phelps-Bondaroff
PC – Alana DeLong*
Social Credit – Len Skowronski
Wildrose Alliance – Barry Holizki

CALGARY-BUFFALO (PC 550)
Alberta Liberal – Kent Hehr
Green – Steven Rickets
ND – Robert Lawrence
PC – Sean Chu
SC – Antoni Grochowski

CALGARY-CROSS (PC 2317)
Alberta Liberal – Rob Reinhold
Green – Susan Stratton
ND – Shelina Hassanali
PC – Yvonne Fritz*
Wildrose Alliance – Gordon Huth

CALGARY-CURRIE (ALP 634)
Alberta Liberal – Dave Taylor*
Green – Kim Warnke
ND – Marc Power
PC – Arthur Kent
Wildrose Alliance – Ken Mazeroll

CALGARY-EAST (PC 2127)
Alberta Liberal – Bill Harvey
Communist – Bonnie Collins
Green – Ross Cameron

ND – Chris Dovey
PC – Moe Amery*
Wildrose Alliance – Mike McCraken

CALGARY-EGMONT (PC 3315)
Alberta Liberal – Cathie Williams
Green – Mark McGillvray
Independent – Craig Chandler
ND – Jason Nishiyama
PC – Jonathan Denis
Wildrose Alliance – Barry Chase

CALGARY-ELBOW (ALP 784)
Alberta Liberal – Craig Cheffins*
Green – Jonathon Sheffield
Independent – Barry Erskine
ND – Garnet Wilcox
PC – Alison Redford
SC – Trevor Grover
Wildrose Alliance – Dale Nelson

CALGARY-FISH CREEK (PC 3984)
Alberta Liberal – Laura Shutiak
Green – Kerry Tynan Fraser
ND – Eric Leavitt
PC – Heather Forsyth*
Wildrose Alliance – Jamie Buchan

CALGARY-FOOTHILLS (PC 2258)
Alberta Liberal – Michael Robinson
Green – Ian Groll
ND – Stephanie Sundburg
PC – Len Webber*
Wildrose Alliance – Kevin Legare

CALGARY-FORT (PC 2351)
Alberta Liberal – Carole Oliver
Green – Mark Taylor
ND – Julie Hrdlicka
PC – Wayne Cao*
Wildrose Alliance – Travis Chase

CALGARY-GLENMORE (PC 1899)
Alberta Liberal – Avalon Roberts
Green – Jared McCollum
Independent: David Crutcher
ND – Holly Heffernan
PC – Ron Stevens*
Wildrose Alliance – Arden Bonokoski

CALGARY-HAYS (PC 3597)
Alberta Liberal – Bill Kutze
Green – Keeley Bruce
ND – Tyler Kinch
PC – Art Johnson*
Wildrose Alliance – Devin Cassidy

CALGARY-LOUGHEED (PC 3364)
Alberta Liberal – Lori Czerwinski
Green – Bernie Amell
Independent – Keith Laurie
ND – Clint Marko
PC – Dave Rodney*
Wildrose Alliance – Derrek Jacobson

CALGARY-MACKAY (PC 2958)
Alberta Liberal – Tianna Melnyk
Green – Ryan Smith
ND – Daena Diduck
PC – Teresa Woo-Paw
Wildrose Alliance – Rob Gregory

CALGARY-MCCALL (PC 304)
Alberta Liberal – Darshan Kang
Green – Heather Brocklesby
ND – Preet Sihota
PC – Shiraz Shariff*
Wildrose Alliance – Ina Given

CALGARY-MONTROSE (PC 1632)
Alberta Liberal – Michael Embaie
Green – Fred Clemens
Independent – Ron Leech
ND – Al Brown
PC – Manmeet Bhullar
Wildrose Alliance – Said Abdulbaki

CALGARY-MOUNTAIN VIEW (ALP 3074)
Alberta Liberal – David Swann*
Green – Juliet BurgessND – John Donovan
PC – Leah Lawrence
Wildrose Alliance – Cory Morgan

CALGARY-NORTH HILL (PC 1157)
Alberta Liberal – Pat Murray
Green – Kevin Maloney
ND – John Chan
PC – Kyle Fawcett
SC – Jim Wright
Wildrose Alliance – Jane Morgan

CALGARY-NORTH WEST
(PC 3268)
Alberta Liberal – Dale D’Silva
Green – George Read
ND – Collin Anderson
PC – Lindsay Blackett
Wildrose Alliance – Chris Jukes

CALGARY-NOSE HILL (PC 1765)
Alberta Liberal – Len Borowski
Green – Nick Burman
ND – Tristan Ridley
PC – Neil Brown*

CALGARY-SHAW (PC 4325)
Alberta Liberal – John Roggeveen
Green – Jennifer Oss-Saunders
ND – Jenn Carlson
PC – Cindy Ady*
Wildrose Alliance – Richard Dur

CALGARY-VARSITY (ALP 756)
Alberta Liberal – Harry Chase*
Green – Sean Maw
ND – Tim Stock-Bateman
PC – Jennifer Diakiw
Wildrose Alliance – Brennan Ltyle

CALGARY-WEST (PC 2685)
Alberta Liberal – Beth Gignac
Green – James Kohut
ND – Chantelle Dubois
PC – Ron Liepert*
Wildrose Alliance – Bob Babcock

CARDSTON-TABER-WARNER (AA 129)
Alberta Liberal – Ron Hancock
Green – Billy Turner
ND – Suzanne Sirias
PC – Broyce Jacobs
Wildrose Alliance – Paul Hinman*

CYPRESS-MEDICINE HAT (PC 2406)
Alberta Liberal – Dick Mastel
Green – Bright Pride
ND – Manuel Martinez
PC – Len Mitzel*
Wildrose Alliance – Dan Pierson

DRAYTON VALLEY-CALMAR (PC 4296)
Alberta Liberal – Norma Block
Green – Edwin Erickson
ND – Luanne Bannister
PC – Diana McQueen
Wildrose Alliance – Dean Schmale

DRUMHELLER-STETTLER (PC 3184)
Alberta Liberal – Tom Dooley
Green – Amanda Bolton
ND – Richard Bough
PC – Jack Hayden*
Wildrose Alliance – Dave France

DUNVEGAN-CENTRAL PEACE (PC 341)
Alberta Liberal – Bob Woken
ND- Nathan Macklin
PC – Hector Goudreau*
Wildrose Alliance – Dale Leuken

EDMONTON-BEVERLY CLAREVIEW (ND 2218)
Alberta Liberal – Dawit Issac
Green – Fredrick Pivot
ND – Ray Martin
PC – Tony Vandermeer
SC – Robin Porteous
Wildrose Alliance – Brian Dell

EDMONTON-CALDER (ND 337)
Alberta Liberal – Jim Kane
Green – Mike Brown
ND – Dave Eggen*
PC – Doug Elniski

EDMONTON-CASTLE DOWNS (PC 3)
Alberta Liberal – Chris Kibermanis
Green – Bob Reckhow
ND- Ali Haymour
PC – Thomas Lukaszuk*

EDMONTON-CENTRE (ALP 3581)
Alberta Liberal – Laurie Blakeman*
Alberta Party – Margaret Saunter
Green – David Parker
ND – Deron Bilous
PC – Bill Donahue
Wildrose Alliance – James Iverson

EDMONTON-DECORE (ALP 1427)
Alberta Liberal – Bill Bonko*
Green – Trey Capenhurst
ND – Sidney Sadik
PC – Janice Sarich

EDMONTON-ELLERSLIE (ALP 201)
Alberta Liberal – Bharat Agnihotri*
Green – Paul Boos
ND – Marilyn Assheton-Smith
PC – Naresh Bhardwaj
SC – Cheryl Ullah
Wildrose Alliance – Krista Leddy

EDMONTON-GLENORA (ALP 552)
Alberta Liberal – Bruce Miller*
Green – Peter Johnson
ND – Arlene Chapman
PC – Heather Klimchuk
SC – Walter Schachenhofer
Wildrose Alliance – Elden Van Hauwaert

EDMONTON-GOLDBAR (ALP 6226)
Alberta Liberal – Hugh MacDonald*
Green – David Zylstra
ND – Sherry McKibben
PC – David Dorward

EDMONTON-HIGHLANDS NORWOOD(ND 3846)
Alberta Liberal – Brad Smith
Green – Mohamad Maie Mohamad
ND – Brian Mason*
PC – Andrew Beniuk
Wildrose Alliance – Travis Loewen

EDMONTON-MANNING (ALP 282)
Alberta Liberal – Sandeep Dhir
Green – Odette Boily
Independent – Dan Backs*
ND – Rick Murti
PC – Peter Sandhu
Wildrose Alliance – Phil Gamache

EDMONTON-MCCLUNG (ALP 526)
Alberta Liberal – Mo Elsalhy*
Green – Bryan Wyrostok
ND – Bridget Stirling
PC – David Xiao
Wildrose Alliance – Christine Jassman

EDMONTON-MEADOWLARK (ALP 193)
Alberta Liberal – Debbie Cavaliere
Green – Amanda Doyle
ND – Pascal Ryffel
PC – Raj Sherman
Wildrose Alliance – Richard Guyon

EDMONTON-MILL CREEK (PC 781)
Alberta Liberal – Aman Gill
Communist – Naomi Rankin
Green – Glen Argan
ND – Stephen Anderson
PC – Gene Zwozdesky*

EDMONTON-MILL WOODS (ALP 2020)
Alberta Liberal – Weslyn Mather*
Green – David Hruska
ND – Christina Gray
PC – Carl Benito
Wildrose Alliance – Robert Leddy

EDMONTON-RIVERVIEW (ALP 6705)
Alberta Liberal – Kevin Taft*
Green – Cam Wakefield
ND – Erica Bullwinkle
PC – Wendy Andrews
Wildrose Alliance – Kyle VanHauwart

EDMONTON-RUTHERFORD
(ALP 3048)
Alberta Liberal – Rick Miller*
Green – Kate Wyrostok
ND – Michael Butler
PC – Fred Horne
Wildrose Alliance – John Baloun

EDMONTON-STRATHCONA (ND 5197)
Alberta Liberal – Tim Vant
Green – Adrian Cole
ND – Rachel Notley
PC – T.J. Keil

EDMONTON-WHITEMUD (PC 926)
Alberta Liberal – Nancy Cavanaugh
Green – Valerie Kennedy
ND – Hana Razga
PC – Dave Hancock*

FOOTHILLS-ROCKYVIEW (PC 4826)
Alberta Liberal – Herb Coburn
Green – Larry Ashmore
ND – Ricardo de Menezes
PC – Ted Morton*

FORT MCMURRAY-WOOD BUFFALO (PC 2631)
Alberta Liberal – Ross Jacobs
Green – Reg Normore
ND – Mel Kraley
PC – Guy Boutilier*

FORT SASKATCHEWAN-VEGREVILLE(PC 3000)
Alberta Liberal – Earl J. Woods
Green – Ryan Scheie
ND – Clayton Marsden
PC – Ed Stelmach*

GRANDE PRAIRIE-SMOKY (PC 2404)
Alberta Liberal – John Croken
Green – Rebecca Villebrun
ND – Neil Peacock
PC – Mel Knight*
Wildrose Alliance – Todd Loewen

GRANDE PRAIRIE-WAPITI (PC 2665)
Alberta Liberal – Augustine Ebinu
Green – Art Proctor
ND – Manuella Campbell
PC – Wayne Drysdale

HIGHWOOD (PC 4891)
Alberta Liberal – Stan Shedd
Green – John Barret
ND – Carolyn Boulton
PC – George Groenveld*
Wildrose Alliance – Daniel Doherty

INNISFAIL-SYLVAN LAKE (PC 3967)
Alberta Liberal – Garth Davis
Green – Lisa Grant
Independent – Anthony Harrarty
ND – Tophie Davies
PC – Luke Oullette*
Wildrose Alliance – Wayne Edmundson

LAC LA BICHE-ST. PAUL (PC 3017)
Alberta Liberal – Alex Broadbent
ND – Della Drury
PC – Ray Danyluk*

LACOMBE-PONOKA (PC 4709)
Alberta Liberal – Edith McPhedran
Green – Joe Anglin
ND – Steve Bradshaw
PC – Ray Prins*
Wildrose Alliance – Daniel Freisen

LEDUC-BEAUMONT-DEVON (PC 3388)
Alberta Liberal – Joyce Assen
Green – Kevin Colton
ND – Lisa Erickson
PC – George Rogers*
Wildrose Alliance – Sharon MacLise

LESSER SLAVE LAKE (PC 2934)
Alberta Liberal – Steve Noskey
Green – Bonnie Raho
ND- Habby Sharkawi
PC – Pearl Calahasen*

LETHBRIDGE EAST (ALP 635)
Alberta Liberal – Bridget Pastoor*
Green – Helen McMenamin
ND – Tom Moffatt
PC – Jason Herasemluk
Wildrose Alliance – Grant Shaw

LETHBRIDGE WEST (PC 782)
Alberta Liberal – Bal Boora
Green – Helen McMenamin
ND – James Moore
PC – Greg Weadick
Wildrose Alliance – Matt Fox

LITTLE BOW (PC 2938)
Alberta Liberal – Everett Tanis
Green – Marie Read
ND – Duane Petluk
PC – Barry McFarland*
Wildrose Alliance – Kevin Kinahan

LIVINGSTONE-MACLEOD (PC 3053)
Alberta Liberal – Mike Judd
Green – Bryan Hunt
ND – Phil Burpee
PC – Evan Berger
Wildrose Alliance – Jack Macleod

MEDICINE HAT (PC 1842)
Alberta Liberal – Karen Charlton
Green – Karen Kraus
ND – Diana Arnott
PC – Rob Renner*
Wildrose Alliance – Karen Kraus

OLDS-DIDBURY-THREE HILLS (PC 5254)
Alberta Liberal – Tony Vonesch
Green – Kate Haddow
ND – Andy Davies
PC – Richard Marz*
Wildrose Alliance – Curt Engel

PEACE RIVER (PC 1792)
ND – Adele Boucher Rymhs
PC – Frank Oberle*
Wildrose Alliance – Georg Beinert

RED DEER-NORTH (PC 1086)
Alberta Liberal – Richard Farrand
Green – Rueben Tschetter
ND – Shawn Nielsen
PC – Mary-Ann Jablonski*
Wildrose Alliance – Urs Lehner

RED DEER-SOUTH (PC 1296)
Alberta Liberal – Diane Kubanek
Green – Evan Bedford
ND – Johana Stark
PC – Cal Dallas
Wildrose Alliance – Ed Klop

ROCKY MOUNTAIN HOUSE (PC 4507)
Alberta Liberal – Norm McDougall
Green – Jennifer Ripley
ND – Jorge Souza
SC – Wilf Tricker
Separation Party – Bruce Hutton
PC – Ty Lund*
Wildrose Alliance – Fanie van Heerden

SHERWOOD PARK (PC 1694)
Alberta Liberal – Louise Rogers
Green – Rick Hoines
ND – Katherine Hay
PC – Iris Evans*
SC – Gordon Barrett

SPRUCE GROVE-STURGEON-ST. ALBERT (PC 599)
Alberta Liberal – Ray Boudreau
Green – Allan West
ND – Peter Cross
PC – Doug Horner*

ST. ALBERT (ALP 412)
Alberta Liberal – Jack Flaherty*
Green – Ross Vincent
ND – Katy Campbell
PC – Ken Allred

STONY PLAIN (PC 2200)
Alberta Liberal – Bill Fraser
Green – Nora Shea
ND – Shelina Brown
PC – Fred Lindsay*
Wildrose Alliance – Sandy Pariseau

STRATHCONA (PC 2756)
Alberta Liberal – Jon Friel
Green – Kate Harrington
ND – Denny Holmwood
PC – Dave Quest

STRATHMORE-BROOKS (PC 4738)
Alberta Liberal – Gerry Hart
Green – Chris Bayford
ND – Brian Stokes
PC – Arno Doerksen
Wildrose Alliance – Amanda Shehata

VERMILION-LLOYDMINSTER (PC 3029)
Alberta Liberal – Robert Sawatzky
Green – Ngaio Hotte
ND – Wendy Myshak
PC – Lloyd Snelgrove*

WEST YELLOWHEAD (PC 1982)
Alberta Liberal – Lisa Higgerty
Green – Scott Pickett
ND – Ken Kuzminski
PC – Robin Campbell
Wildrose Alliance – Earle Cunningham

WETASKIWIN-CAMROSE (PC 3464)
Alberta Liberal – Keith Elliott
Green – Midge Lambert
ND – Sarah Mowatt
PC – Verlyn Olsen
Wildrose Alliance – Tyler Knelsen

WHITECOURT-STE. ANNE (PC 2742)
Alberta Liberal – Mike Gray
ND – Leah Redmond
PC – George VanderBurg*
Wildrose Alliance – Link Byfield

(*incumbent)

Categories
Alberta Politics

alberta’s new balance of power?

A good friend passed along this message to me:

Alberta’s newfound fiscal capacity has led many to predict it will lead to a new balance of power and perhaps even instability in the federation. How will Alberta choose to exercise this political and economic clout? How will the federal government, and the other provinces, react? And to what extent will this affect the regional balance of power and the national agenda? These were the questions that were asked at a recent Public Policy Forum event held at the Ranchmen’s Club in Calgary.

At the event, presentations were made by the Honourable Rona Ambrose, Minister of Intergovernmental Affairs and Tom Courchene, Professor of Economic and Financial Policy at Queen’s University. You can read Minister Ambrose’s speech here and Dr. Courchene’s speech here.

Categories
Alberta Politics Alberta Tories

trouble in toryland.

The outgoing President of the Young Tories took a parting shot at Premier Ed Stelmach on the front page of today’s Calgary Herald.

Outgoing executive members of the Alberta PC youth wing continued their assault Monday against the Tories and the Stelmach government, arguing their policies are rural, stale and ensuring a “slow death march” for the party.

[…]

The entire nine-member executive has resigned from the youth wing, largely due to the party’s and government’s lack of vision and attempts to muzzle young Tories, insist the former executive members.

“PC Alberta will continue its slow death march, to the beat of a rural drum and tired, stale policies,” outgoing president David McColl, 26, wrote in an op-ed letter to the Herald.

There is also a surprisingly nasty letter on the front page of the YAPCA website. The Herald described the situation well.

Some of the outgoing members of the youth wing say they’re disillusioned with the party’s lack of vision and the way it kept the lid on their views and input. It is difficult to gauge the overall mood in the whole wing from a handful of dissenters, but what should worry Stelmach is that these are more people adding their voices to a chorus of disillusionment with his government that is growing steadily louder.

On that note, today’s Herald also included a new poll showing Premier Ed Stelmach’s disapproval rating in Calgary and Edmonton doubling to 29%, from 15% in January. In Calgary, the poll shows that Stelmach’s disapproval rating has soared to 39% (from 18% in January) and is coming close to challenging his approval ratings of 44% in Calgary (down from 52% in January). The poll also showed that 41% of Calgarians believe Premier Stelmach is leading Alberta in the wrong direction (35% think he’s taking Alberta down the right path).

Categories
Alberta Politics

11:19 PM.

I’ll defer to Dan for the time being (see #3)

Categories
2007 Edmonton Municipal Election Alberta Politics

out yonder.

Apologies for the lack of posts this week, I hope I haven’t disappointed my loyal readership (you know who you are… Anand!). It’s been a busy week as I wrap up one job and am on the brink of transitioning to another.

Here’s a roundup of stuff that caught my eye over the past week:

– I was sad to see that Michael Phair will not be seeking re-election in Ward 4 this Fall. Phair is one of Edmonton’s strongest City Councillors and I was happy to be able to vote for him in the last election.

– The court trial fallout of the Ward 10 scandal is wrapping up in Calgary. An investigation into a scandal surrounding Calgary’s municipal elections revealed there was, “an organized but unsuccessful attempt to stuff ballot boxes.” This led to Alderman Margot Aftergood admitting her campaign team requested 1266 mail-in ballots and had them sent to a mailbox rented by her husband, David Aftergood.

David Aftergood, his brother-in-law and three other members of her campaign team—including two brothers of PC MLA Hung Pham were charged for violating the Alberta Elections Act.

Yesterday, David Aftergood was found guilty of one charge.

This scandal makes me sick to my stomach. What do we expect to acomplish over there if this is how we’re opertating.

– Gore stands up Stelmach. So much for THE DAYS.

Categories
Alberta Politics Canadian Politics Public Interest Alberta

where to from here?

It’s a balmy +4C here in Edmonton and in case there were any doubts I believe (*hope*) that Spring is here to stay!

A couple of things…

– Over the past couple months, Public Interest Alberta has released a number of discussion documents on some hot topics in Alberta.

This week, PIA released it’s Post-Secondary Education plan – Where to from Here: A Vision and Plan for Post-secondary Education in Alberta and it lays out some solid recommendations for how to improve the affordability, accessibility, and quality of Alberta’s post-secondary system. Democratic Renewal in Alberta: A Public Interest Alberta Discussion Paper is another hard hitting democratic reform document that PIA released a couple of months ago.

You can also check out policychannel.com to watch an interview with PIA Chairman Larry Booi.

The Federal Budget. It seems federal Finance Minister Jim Flaherty is fairly pleased with himself for fixing the fiscal imbalance. Unfortunately for Minister Flaherty, a number of folks on the otherside of the “imbalance” tend to disagree.

– The Quebec Provincial Election is on Monday. I’ll be spending a month or more in Quebec over the Summer, so I’ll be watching this one with interest (I was actually in Montreal during the 2003 Quebec Provincial Election).

It should be close as poll after poll have shown the three main parties within striking distance of each other!

– And for you fans of election debates, this is for you!

Categories
Alberta Politics

pomping the speech from the throne.

This afternoon Lt. Governor Norman Kwong delivered Alberta’s Speech from the Throne. Being the first Speech from the Throne of the Tory Government under Ed Stelmach, I made sure I was there to see it happen.

Anyone who knows anything about the Speech from the Throne will know that it has more to do with pomp, ceremony, and feel goodery than actual substance or policy. Though brief mentions of policy poped up from time to time in Kwong’s long speech (the delivery was a little slow) it stuck to formula.

Much of the Speech centered around Stelmach’s “Five Priorities” (All of which seem fairly common sensicle).

  • governing with integrity and transparency;
  • managing growth pressures;
  • improving Albertans’ quality of life;
  • providing safe and secure communities; and
  • building a strong Alberta.

More substantial points include the creation of a long-needed lobbyist registry, finally dealing with the affordable housing and economic growth crisis, and review of the resource royalty system (all of which had been previously announced).

The Stelmach Tories are now appearing to be jumping on the now all-popular “green” bandwagon with the announcement of the creation of a long-term energy strategy and greenhouse gas emission regulation. Feel goodery aside, I’m not convinced that the Alberta Tories have any real sincere intention to take substantial action on the environment or climate change file. I’ll believe it when I see real action.

This Speech remains atypical of most other speech’s of this type. Hopefully the Spring Session will be a little more exciting.

And of course, the scrums and schmoozing in the Rotunda is where the real action is.

Of note:
– Thanks to the Alberta NDP caucus for my invitation to the Visitor’s Gallery and for letting me in to their pre-Speech Reception at the Legislature Annex.
Tom Olsen was sporting a slick new suit. I’m sure he’s making a better salary at taxpayer expense than the Calgary Herald would ever afford him.
– Fred Horne is Dave Hancock‘s new Executive Assistant. Horne ran for the Tories in Edmonton Riverview against Alberta Liberal Leader Kevin Taft. Horne recieved 22% of the vote to Taft’s 65%.
– Lots of new Ministers with new hangers on.
– Lots of old Ministers with no hangers on.
– I’m still shocked and disappointed at the job that Todd Babiuk is doing as the Edmonton Journal‘s Legislative Columnist while Graham Thomson is on assignment in Afghanistan. COME BACK, GRAHAM!
– And I think Norman Kwong likes the attention he gets when he enters a room.

Categories
Alberta Politics

clint had a point?

“Money is like manure. If you spread it around, it does a lot of good; but if you pile it up in one place, it stinks like hell.” – Clint Murchison

How fitting…

Tax revenue and investment income lift Alberta’s surplus to $7 billion

Spending unchanged from second quarter forecast
Third Quarter Fiscal Highlights
* Revenue is $36.6 billion, an increase of $1.5 billion from second quarter forecast
* Expense is $29.7 billion, a decrease of $40 million from second quarter forecast
* The surplus is forecast at $7 billion, an increase of $1.5 billion from second quarter forecast

Edmonton… Strong business profits and returns in world equity markets are bolstering the province’s bottom line in 2006-07, as reported in the Government of Alberta’s 2006-07 Third Quarter Fiscal Update. Revenue is now forecast to be $4.2 billion higher than budgeted, increasing the forecast surplus to $7 billion.

Categories
Affordable Housing Alberta Politics

thursday update.

A couple of things…

– I presented to Alberta’s Affordable Housing Task Force yesterday afternoon in Edmonton. The committee will be traveling Alberta to listen to Albertans thoughts and recommendations on how to solve the affordable housing crisis until February 28. Task force members include MLA’s Len Webber (Calgary Foothills), Bruce Miller (Edmonton Glenora), and Ray Martin (Edmonton Beverly-Clareview) and Edmonton City Councillor Karen Leibovici. See here for the hearing locations and dates.

Alberta Liberal Leader Kevin Taft delivered an alternative Speech from the Throne Tuesday night at the Royal Museum in Edmonton. Fresh from the release of Taft’s new book Democracy Derailed, last nights event was a packed affair with hundereds of Albertans crowding the theatre to hear what Taft had to say. It was a positive speech and gave Taft the oppurtunity to present his team of MLA’s and candidates along with a positive vision for Alberta’s future. Taft also focused on the need for action to be taken on environmental issues in Alberta.

Though it will be an uphill battle for the 15 MLA caucus, Taft outlined the Alberta Liberal Caucus’ legislative agenda for the upcoming Spring Session which will include a number of Bills including a Sustainable Communities Act, a Consumer Advocate Act, a Child Care Accountability and Accessibility Act, a Restriction on School Fees and Fundraising Act, and legislation that would strengthen water resource management, review gaming in Alberta, require health impact assessments for major government initiatives, and reverse laws designed to hide the results of internal audits for 15 years.

It’s a very interesting twist in Alberta politics how the Alberta Liberals are attempting to turn the tables on the seemingly disorganized Stelmach Government in terms of presenting a strong and united vision for what road Alberta should take.

– Looks like Quebec is off to the polls on March 26.

– I’m off to the wild border city of Lloydminster for the day today (hopefully those rowdy Saskatchewanites won’t be too much of a worry).

Categories
Alberta Politics

budget delays…

More substantive posts coming in the near future, but here is an interesting twist…

Jan, 23 2007 – 4:20 PM

EDMONTON – Finance Minister Lyle Oberg has confirmed the new Alberta budget won’t be ready until April, several weeks later than usual.

Oberg says he’s putting in place a whole new budgeting process that brings the government caucus into the decision-making process.

But, the new finance minister says this is taking some extra time even though completing the budget is now his top priority.

Oberg says Albertans shouldn’t expect to see any spending cuts in the new budget given that the province is facing an inflation rate of 4.5 percent, but he says they may curtail spending increases.

However, a budget arriving after the current fiscal year ends on March 31 means the legislature would have to approve interim financing until a new budget is passed.

Categories
Alberta Politics Canadian Politics

rough waters ahead?

1. Ed Stelmach’s PC Government doesn’t seem to be getting the same smooth ride from the media the 13 year Ralph Klein’s PC’s received.

Following the cancellation of the $5,000 a ticket exclusive Tory fundraiser, there appears to be no shortage of tension coming from Stelmach’s first cabinet as Health Minister Dave Hancock (Edmonton Whitemud) is being openly scolded by fellow Tories Ty Lund (Rocky Mountain House) and Treasury Board President Lloyd Snelgrove (Vermilion-Lloydminster) for talking to the media about a Province-wide smoking ban.

2. Alberta Liberal MLA Hugh MacDonald (Edmonton Gold Bar) has discovered that the Alberta Tories have failed to file mandatory reports to Elections Alberta since 1987. From the Edmonton Sun

The situation involves a secret “foundation fund” the party was allowed to keep after the financial disclosure law was passed in 1978, provided it filed annual reports on transfers from it.
Deputy Electoral Officer Bill Sage told the Sun he failed to notice that the statements stopped coming.

“I was responsible for it. I was the director of financial operations at the time. It was something that escaped me and I didn’t realize it until just recently.”
He said Elections Alberta has requested the Tory party to provide the missing
statements, but is still waiting for them.

2.For someone who pledged to get the Government of Alberta “out of the business of business,” former Tory Premier Ralph Klein sure hopped on the business bandwagon quickly as a Senior Business Advisor for Borden Ladner Gervais LLP in Calgary.

3. The salary of the chairman of Horse Racing Alberta has risen 217% in just four years. According to Alberta Liberal MLA Maurice Tougas (Edmonton Meadowlark):

…in just four years, Horse Racing Alberta has received more than $136 million from slot machine revenue. The government estimates another $60 million could pour into HRA this year, bringing the total subsidy to almost $200 million.

4. On the federal side of things, Stephane Dion has announced the Federal Liberals massive 47 MP shadow cabinet. The Harper Conservatives are framing it as a “Blast from the Past.” It should be interesting to see how the well the Federal Liberals regroup before the next election.

5. Anne McLellan has announced that she will not be seeking the Federal Liberal nomination to challenge Tory MP Laurie Hawn in Edmonton Centre. Names that I’ve heard being bantered around for Liberal candidates include Jim Jacuta, Randy Boissonnault, and 2006 Edmonton East candidate Nicole Martel

Categories
Alberta Politics

session on the horizon…

The rumour mill has rolled out February 26 as the beginning of the 2007 Spring session of the Alberta Legislature.

It’s also likely that the first Bill presented by Premier Ed Stelmach‘s PC Government will be a pseudo-Accountability Act, which among other things would propose the creation of the long-overdue Lobbyist Registry.

The creation of a Lobbyist Registry is something that the Liberal Opposition has been strongly calling for over the past few years.

I’ve been fairly busy lately, but will roll out with more regular blogging in the coming weeks…