Alberta Politics

2015 was a great year for Progressive Politics in Alberta

It was an exciting year to be a progressive in Alberta.

Rachel Notley Alberta NDP leader
Rachel Notley

May 5, 2015 marked the first time since the 1930s that a conservative party did not win a provincial election in Alberta. The defeat of the Progressive Conservative government, which had been in power since 1971, by Rachel Notley’s New Democratic Party represented a significant shift in Alberta’s political environment.

October 19, 2015 marked the first time Calgarians elected Members of Parliament other than conservatives since 1968. Newly elected Calgary Liberal MPs Kent Hehr and Darshan Kang were joined by fellow Liberals Amarjeet Sohi and Randy Boissonnault from Edmonton to represent Alberta in a federal government led by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.

Thomas Dang MLA
Thomas Dang

As someone who has been writing about Alberta politics for ten years and advocating for more progressive politics in our province, this year’s provincial and federal elections produced strange and exciting results.

A year ago, I never would have predicted a real progressive political party would win a provincial election in Alberta in 2015. Actually, on June 1, 2014, I wrote that it was probably impossible. On January 28, 2015, I predicted the PCs would win another majority.

In this case, I am very pleased to have been wrong.

Albertans rejected a conservative political establishment that had become stagnant and entitled after years of controversy, scandals and resignations. But instead of turning to the right-wing Wildrose Party, which was a few embarrassing comments away from winning the 2012 election, Alberta voters embraced a moderate progressive platform put forward by Ms. Notley’s NDP.

Ms. Notley proved to be a smart, likeable and charismatic leader on the campaign trail. I would argue that she was then and remains now her party’s greatest asset.

Jim Prentice Alberta Premier
Jim Prentice

Voters opted for wholesale change by choosing 75 new MLAs, a huge turnover, to serve in Alberta’s 87 seat Legislative Assembly. The NDP started the election with 4 seats and ended it with 54 seats, including every seat in Edmonton, 15 seats in Calgary, seats in Lethbridge, Medicine Hat and Red Deer, and a handful in rural Alberta.

The PCs lost a total of 60 seats and were relegated to third place with 10 MLAs (9 after leader Jim Prentice resigned on election night) and the official opposition Wildrose won 21 seats, four more than the party won in 2012.

A record number of women were elected to the Legislature, including 26 in the 54 MLA NDP caucus and 7 of 13 cabinet ministers.

Thomas Dang, age 20, became the youngest MLA in Alberta history.

Three openly gay MLAs were elected, believed to be a first in Alberta politics.

Stephanie McLean NDP Calgary Varsity
Stephanie McLean

Stephanie McLean made headlines when she became the first MLA in Alberta history to be pregnant while in office.

Optimism was in the air as thousands of Albertans showed up to the Legislature Grounds to watch the new Premier and cabinet be sworn-in to office.

In their first session as government, the NDP banned corporate and union donations, restored $1 billion in health care, education and human services funding cuts made by the PCs, increased Alberta’s corporate tax rate from 10 percent to 12 percent and announced a phased in $15 per hour minimum wage by 2018.

Ms. Notley demonstrated an ability to reach outside NDP circles for expert advice by appointing Alberta Treasury Branches President & CEO Dave Mowat to lead a Royalty Review Panel, respected economics professor Andrew Leach to lead a Climate Change Panel, and former Bank of Canada governor David Dodge to provide advice on infrastructure investment. Calgary Liberal MLA David Swann was asked to co-chair a review of the province’s mental health services and Joseph Doucet, Dean of the University of Alberta’s School of Business, was tapped to chair the Premier’s Advisory Committee on the Economy.

David Swann Liberal MLA Calgary-Mountain View
David Swann

The PC Party patronage machine ground to a halt. University and college boards of governors are still dominated with well-connected conservatives, but some high-profile appointees have been replaced. For example, Alberta’s representative in Washington D.C. Rob Merrifield, a former Conservative MP, was replaced by Gitane De Silva, a former Deputy Minister of International and Intergovernmental Affairs and Canadian Consul General to Chicago.

On the financial front, the NDP government faces serious problems inherited from the old PC government.

After years of poor long-term planning and over-reliance on royalty revenues to fund the province’s operations budget, the sharp decline in the international price of oil had a huge impact on the government’s coffers. The drop in the price of oil has also led to significant job losses in Calgary and northern Alberta, which have impacted tens of thousands of Albertans.

Rob Merrifield Alberta Washington DC
Rob Merrifield

Instead of dealing with the drop in revenue by cutting budget funding and slashing public sector jobs, like the Wildrose and PC parties proposed, the NDP have decided to invest in public infrastructure, such as highway, school and hospital construction.

As well as keeping many Albertans in the construction industry employed during the economic downturn, investing in building public infrastructure now means the government will spend less time playing catch up when the next oil boom arrives. Ironically, this is similar to what Wildrose leader Brian Jean argued in favour of when he resigned as Fort McMurray’s MP in January 2014.

Not unexpected for a new government, especially for the first new government in 44 years, mistakes have been made. The NDP brought in a few too many out-of-province operatives to fill top political jobs, softened their position on carbon capture, and seriously fumbled Bill 6, the agri-industry and farm safety law. And rookie cabinet ministers planted their feet in their mouths on a few occasions, something they will need to learn to do less of in the new year.

Brian Jean Wildrose LeaderDespite a constant barrage of criticism from conservative critics, who claim the NDP election win was simply a fluke, a recent poll showed the NDP with a narrow lead in Calgary and a wide lead in Edmonton. The poll was not fantastic news for the governing party, but it undermines the argument that the NDP were elected by accident. The NDP appear to be developing a solid base of support among moderate and progressive voters in urban Alberta.

This election was a reminder that Alberta has defied its stodgy political stereotype and has rapidly become a young and urban province.

As Calgary political strategist Corey Hogan noted last week, “Alberta is the only province where baby boomers are outnumbered by their children.” The median age in our province is 36 years old, a number that is now more accurately reflected in the age of the government caucus.

The city of Calgary, long known for its conservative political roots, has now elected progressive politicians in the municipal, provincial and federal levels of government, something that would have been unheard of in past years.

According to Statistics Canada, in 1961, 53 percent of Albertans lived in rural areas. As of 2011, 83 percent of Albertans lived in urban centres with only 17 percent of our province’s population living in rural areas. This is a massive population shift that has and will continue to impact our political map for decades to come.

The year’s election was a rejection of establishment politics and a reminder that Albertans are largely politically moderate and more populist than conservative, which is an important distinction that the ruling PCs forgot after 44 years in power. It was also a reminder of how dramatically voters can abandon their traditional patterns of voting and embrace change.

This year was filled with many exciting firsts for progressive politics in Alberta. And while it is impossible to tell what the next year will bring in Alberta politics it is clear that our province changed in a significant way in 2015.


I had the pleasure of joining Ryan Jespersen on 630CHED on Dec. 16, 2015 to talk about the past year in Alberta politics. Take a listen and let me know what you think about what happened in 2015.

10 replies on “2015 was a great year for Progressive Politics in Alberta”

Finally Alberta has a government that believes in climate change and the value of building for our future. Notley reminds me of Lougheed. I’m glad she’s my premier.

Yeah sure Dave, they added a carbon tax that does absolutely nothing for the enviroment. They are rethinking child care benefits for low income families and for more child care spaces, they may defer 30 million to improve home care for seniors, 40 million for long term care and 20 million to provide school lunches for children in need, also 45 million to cut school fees. If the conservatives were to do any of these you would be screaming that they are doing it on the backs of seniors, students and the less fortunate. All she has done is raise taxes, alienate farmers and business, cater to her special interest groups such as environmentalists and unions, get our credit rating dropped, bringing in record deficits. Remember sooner or later you will have to repay that debt, all this in just 8 months.

Great post Dave. You did an awesome job in 2015 making this blog a ‘must-read’ in 2015.

Keep up the good work in 2016.!

Might be a great year for extremist left wing “progressives”, but a terrible year, for the same reason, for the other 99% of us.

Re Al’s comments: “All she has done is raise taxes, alienate farmers and business, cater to her special interest groups such as environmentalists and unions, get our credit rating dropped, bringing in record deficits.” First of all, if “environmentalists and unions” are “special interests,” so are “farmers and business.” This use of language, meant to discredit policies before they are even discussed, is typical of those who reject the notion that governments need to play the main role in protecting the public interest from uncontrolled short-term greedy behavior in a market-based economy. And in the case of the Notley government, the sweeping statement is incorrect. Important sections of the business community DO support some of the major initiatives of the government, particularly the carbon tax. Farm owners who employ paid labour appear on the whole to oppose Bill 6 but the 50,000 farm labourers who will benefit have every right to be called “farmers” too have largely praised the bill. As for the deficit, it would have been the same had the Tories stayed in power because their spring budget underestimated the fall in the price of oil and therefore overestimated provincial royalty and tax income. It seems incredible that someone who denounces the government’s delays in implementing some of their spending promises also opposes any and all tax increases. How would you like the new programs to be funded? I will be disappointed if the delays mean that these promises are not implemented, but it is Alison Redford economics to support an expansion of public programs without identifying a single additional nickel that can pay for them. The extra revenues that the tax changes will produce ought to be able to fund the promised new programs when the economy turns around even just a little bit. The carbon tax, if the revenues go to public transit, environmental retrofits of buildings, and to helping alternative energy companies to start or expand, WILL contribute to cutting carbon emissions. The previous government, after 43 years plus, left the public purse empty because it refused to tax the wealthy or corporations to the same degree as other provinces, making it impossible to accumulate surpluses when times were good that would pay for ongoing programs when times were bad. The Notley government has provided the foundation for long-term economic stability though its opponents, putting on historical blinkers, are pretending that the new government has somehow created the bankrupt financial situation that it, in fact, inherited. This isn’t Norway. It should be and may end up approximating that country if the NDP can remain in power for at least a few terms.

Good points, also the carbon tax does in fact show people outside Alberta and Canada that Albertans do care about the environment. It’s a step in the right direction. Perhaps eventually we can shake the ‘dirty oil’ title placed on our oil, powered by coal.

So the right wing think Notley has alienated business and farmers. That sure conservative thinking at its worst. They just want to leave us in the dark ages.

Bringing in a carbon tax is supported by many big players in the oil patch and as for farmers, what’s wrong with bringing them into the 21st century like the rest of Canada did in the 20th century. The farm safety bill works for farm owners as well as farm workers because workers compensation protects farmers from being sued for injuries incurred by their employees.

And the 54 NDP MLAs didn’t just seize power in Alberta. The last time I checked they were elected by the people of Alberta, most of whom would do it again if an election were held now.

Albertans proved that they like their government programs just like Canadians do in other provinces.

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