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Alberta Politics

the great alberta election pool.

Alberta Legislative Assembly
Who will run the show after April 23?

On Monday, Albertans will go to the polls in what is already being dubbed a “historic” election. The outcome is uncertain, so why not gaze into your crystal ball and enter the Daveberta and CalgaryGrit election pool. It is simple enough – predict the seat totals for each party and answer 10 bonus questions. Everyone gets 87 points minus one point for each seat you are off per party, plus two points per correct bonus question.

Robert Vollman has generously donated the following political book prize packs (shipping extra, unless we can arrange a pick-up in Calgary, Edmonton, or Toronto):

1. The Bill of Rights package: One Canada (Diefenbaker), Memoirs (Trudeau)
2. The Preston Manning package: Thinking Big, The New Canada and Roots of Reform
3. The Jean Chretien package: The Friendly Dictatorship, Straight From the Heart
4. The Federalists package: A Nation Too Good to Lose (Joe Clark), Fighting for Canada (Diane Francis)
5. The Obscure Package: The Betrayal of Canada (Mel Hurtig), Navigating a New World (Lloyd Axworthy)

First choice goes to the overall winner, with the winners of the seat prediction portion and the bonus question portion also winning a book pack. So even if you are an Ontarian, like my friend Dan, with no clue what a “Ted Morton” is, never mind if he’ll win his seat, you can skip the bonus questions and still be eligible for the prizes, based on a shot-in-dark seat prediction.

Contest will close as soon as the polls open Monday. Please paste your entry in the comments here or at CalgaryGrit, or e-mail your picks in to david.cournoyer@gmail.com.

Election Results Questions

Number of MLAs elected by each party (total: 87 MLAs)

Alberta Party:
Liberal:
NDP:
PC:
Wildrose:
Other:

Bonus Question

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
(2008 results here; candidate list here; top ridings last time: Vermilion-Lloydminster (Lloyd Snelgrove – not running), Battle River-Wainwright (Doug Griffiths), Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville (Ed Stelmach – not running), Bonnyville-Cold Lake (Genia Leskiw), Strathmore-Brooks (Arno Doerksen), Lac La Biche-St. Paul-Two Hills (Ray Danyluk))

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
(Morton won with 57% of the vote last time, but 308.com projects 22-point Wildrose win)

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
(Redford beat the Liberals by 3% last election, and 308.com projects her to beat the Wildrose by 3%)

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
(As a PC, Sherman defeated the Liberals 54% to 30% in 2008)

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? (points if you’re within +/- 5%)
(Polls show them under 5% province-wide, but they’ve targeted a pair of Edmonton constituencies, including the one in Q7)

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
(308.com projects Hunsberger to lose, but has Leech in a virtual dead heat)

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
(Candidates: Sue Huff AP, Bruce Miller Lib, Ray Martin NDP, Heather Klimchuk PC, Don Koziak WR; 2008 vote: PC 40%, Lib 39%, NDP 15%, WR 2%)

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
(Alison Redford PC, Danielle Smith WR, Raj Sherman Lib, Brian Mason NDP, Glenn Taylor AP)

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
(They’re running 3 candidates, the PCs are running 3 candidates, the Greens have 1 candidate, and there are 6 independents; full list here)

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
(current polls have them effectively tied)

115 replies on “the great alberta election pool.”

I feel that there will be a minority government after Monday`s results are official. Having lived in Ottawa for a number of years and a federal public service employee for neatly 30 years, I like the Wildrose but maybe lack the necessary experience which might cause the voters to split the vote, hence a minority goverment. NDP will be quite happy being courted for their support by the winners of this historic election.

Number of MLAs elected by each party (total: 87 MLAs)
Alberta Party: 2
Liberal: 3
NDP: 6
PC: 41
Wildrose: 35
Other: 0

Bonus Questions

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
Spruce Grove

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
Yes

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? (points if you’re within +/- 5%)
35

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
No

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Klimchuk

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
None

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
1

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
Liberals will get a higher number of total votes, but NDP will win more seats.

[…] can enter your election day prediction on a great political blog published by Dave Cournoyer, daveberta…., and be entered to win some politically geeky prizes. Or share what you see in your crystal ball in […]

Election Results Questions

Number of MLAs elected by each party (total: 87 MLAs)

Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 2
NDP: 4
PC: 33
Wildrose: 48
Other:
Bonus Question

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote: Edmonton South West

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
No

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? (points if you’re within +/- 5%)
21%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
No & No

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Ray Martin, NDP

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
Redford

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
One

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
NDP

Love it!
Number of MLAs elected by each party:
Alberta Party: 1
Liberal: 2
NDP: 7
PC: 45
Wildrose: 32
Other: 0

1. PC best showing: Strathcona-Sherwood Park

2. Ted Morton: YES
3. Alison Redford: YES
4. Raj Sherman: NO
5. Alberta Party best showing: 27%
6. Hunsperger or Leech: NO and NO
7. Edmonton-Glenora: Sue Huff
8. Resignations within 48 hours: NONE
9. Wildrose senate: 1
10. More votes: NDP

Ah, yes! Our quadrennial “exercise in democracy” continues apace, and we’re reduced to speculating on the outcome of a horse race.

You do realize, don’t you, that voting once every 3, 4, or 5 years doesn’t actually constitute “democracy” in any meaningful sense, right? It may be “better” than many other systems of government, but it’s far from ideal, isn’t it.

You’re engaged in validation of the status quo, which is no way to create progressive change. I’m no revolutionary, and I recognize that the only legitimate change will come, eventually, at the ballot box. However, our choices are limited, and there’s NO discussion of expanding the breadth of decision-making beyond what it is now.

Finally, with respect to the Senate “election”: I’m not going to legitimize this by participating. I’m going to politely refuse the ballot, as I did last time round. The refusals get recorded; spoiled ballots do not specify why they’re refused.

Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 0
NDP: 4
PC: 23
Wildrose: 60
Other: 0

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
Stratcona Sherwood Park

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
No

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
No

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? (points if you’re within +/- 5%)
6.5%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
Hunsperger: No
Leech: Yes

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Don Koziak WR

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
Raj Sherman, Alison Redford

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
2

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
(current polls have them effectively tied)
Liberal

Number of MLAs elected by each party (total: 87 MLAs)
Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 1
NDP: 4
PC: 52
Wildrose: 30
Other: 0

Bonus Questions

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
Peace River

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
No

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? (points if you’re within +/- 5%)
17

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
No

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Klimchuk

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
None

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
1

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
Liberals will get a higher number of total votes, but NDP will win more seats.

Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 2
NDP: 4
PC: 36
Wildrose: 45
Other: 0

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
Edmonton-Whitemud

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
Yes

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? (points if you’re within +/- 5%)
28%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
Hunsperger: No
Leech: No

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Heather Klimchuk PC

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
Raj Sherman, Alison Redford

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
2

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
(current polls have them effectively tied)
NDP

Alberta Party: 4
Liberal: 3
NDP: 0
PC: 42
Wildrose: 38
Other: 0
Bonus Question

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote: Calgary Hays – McIver

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
Yes

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? 49%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
No to Hunsberger, yes to Leech.

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Sue Huff – Alberta Party

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
None.

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
0

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
NDP

Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 2
NDP: 4
PC: 44
Wildrose: 37
Other: 0

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote.
Strathcona-Sherwood Park

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
Yes

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding?
12%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
No

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Heather Klimchuk

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
None of them

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
2

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
NDP

Election Results Questions

Number of MLAs elected by each party (total: 87 MLAs)

Alberta Party:0
Liberal:2
NDP:5
PC:38
Wildrose:42
Other:0
Bonus Question

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
(2008 results here; candidate list here; top ridings last time: Vermilion-Lloydminster (Lloyd Snelgrove – not running), Battle River-Wainwright (Doug Griffiths), Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville (Ed Stelmach – not running), Bonnyville-Cold Lake (Genia Leskiw), Strathmore-Brooks (Arno Doerksen), Lac La Biche-St. Paul-Two Hills (Ray Danyluk))

Battle River – Wainwright

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
(Morton won with 57% of the vote last time, but 308.com projects 22-point Wildrose win)

Yes

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
(Redford beat the Liberals by 3% last election, and 308.com projects her to beat the Wildrose by 3%)

Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
(As a PC, Sherman defeated the Liberals 54% to 30% in 2008)

No

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? (points if you’re within +/- 5%)
(Polls show them under 5% province-wide, but they’ve targeted a pair of Edmonton constituencies, including the one in Q7)

17%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
(308.com projects Hunsberger to lose, but has Leech in a virtual dead heat)

Yes – Leech

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
(Candidates: Sue Huff AP, Bruce Miller Lib, Ray Martin NDP, Heather Klimchuk PC, Don Koziak WR; 2008 vote: PC 40%, Lib 39%, NDP 15%, WR 2%)

Klimchuk

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
(Alison Redford PC, Danielle Smith WR, Raj Sherman Lib, Brian Mason NDP, Glenn Taylor AP)

Sherman

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
(They’re running 3 candidates, the PCs are running 3 candidates, the Greens have 1 candidate, and there are 6 independents; full list here)

All 3

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
(current polls have them effectively tied)

NDP

Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 1
NDP: 5
PC: 38
Wildrose: 43
Other: 0
Bonus Question

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote: Strathcona-Sherwood Park

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
Yes

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding?
8%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
No

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Ray Martin – NDP

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
Redford

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
1

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
NDP

Number of MLAs elected by each party (total: 87 MLAs)

Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 3
NDP: 6
PC: 39
Wildrose: 40
Other: 0
Bonus Question

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
Battle River-Wainwright (Doug Griffiths)

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
Yes

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
Yes

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? (points if you’re within +/- 5%)
23

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
No

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Heather Klimchuk PC

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
None

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
Two

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
NDP

Election Results Questions
Number of MLAs elected by each party (total: 87 MLAs)
Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 1
NDP: 4
PC: 27
Wildrose: 57
Other: 0

Bonus Question
1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote: – Strathcona – Sherwood Park
2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview? – No
3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow? Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark? No
5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? 5%
6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat? No

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora? Heather Klimchuk PC

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote? – Raj Sherman Lib
9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win? 3
10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP? – NDP

Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 2
NDP: 4
PC: 30
Wildrose: 51
Other: 0

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
Battle River-Wainwright

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
No

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? (points if you’re within +/- 5%)
19%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
Hunsperger: No
Leech: Yes

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Heather Klimchuk PC

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
Raj Sherman, Alison Redford

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
2

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
(current polls have them effectively tied)
NDP

Alberta Party: 4
Liberal: 12
NDP: 6
PC: 34
Wildrose: 31
Other: 0

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
Battle River-Wainwright

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
Yes

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? (points if you’re within +/- 5%)
40

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
Neither

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Heather Klimchuk PC

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
Raj Sherman

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
1

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
(current polls have them effectively tied)
Liberals

Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 3
NDP: 5
PC: 40
Wildrose: 39

1. Battle River-Wainwright
2. Yes
3. 
Yes
4. 
No
5. 26%
6. No
7. 
Heather Klimchuk, PC
8. 
None
9. 
One
10. 
NDP

Election Results Questions

Number of MLAs elected by each party (total: 87 MLAs)

Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 1
NDP: 5
PC: 31
Wildrose: 50
Other: 0

Bonus Question

1. Dave Hancock (Edmonton–Whitemud)

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
No

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? (points if you’re within +/- 5%)
7%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
Hunspeger – no
Leech – yes

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Ray Martin, NDP

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
Alison Redford, Raj Sherman

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
2

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
NDP

AP: 0
Lib: 1
NDP: 8
PC: 36
WRP: 42

1) Battle River-Wainwright
2) No
3) Yes
4) No
5) West Yellowhead
6) Neither
7) Ray Martin
8) Raj Sherman
9) 1
10) NDP

Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 3
NDP: 4
PC: 37
Wildrose: 43
Other: 0

Bonus Questions:

1) Spruce Grove-Saint Albert

2) No

3) Yes

4) No

5) 9%

6) Neither will be elected.

7) Ray Martin

8) Raj Sherman

9) 2

10) NDP

Election Results

MLAs elected by party:

Liberal: 3
NDP: 6
PC: 35
Wildrose: 43

Questions

1. Stratchona – Sherwood Park

2. No

3. Yes

4. Yes

5. 8%

6. Hunspeger – no
Leech – yes

7. Ray Martin, NDP

8. Alison Redford

9. 1

10. NDP

I’d like to revise one of my answers. On Quest 6, I answered that Ron Leech would win his seat. I now do not think he will; therefore I would like to change my answer accordingly.

(This does not affect my seat prediction as in my revisions I’ve had some flips.) Thanks!

Number of MLAs elected by each party (total: 87 MLAs)

Alberta Party: 1
Liberal: 1
NDP: 4
PC: 39
Wildrose: 42
Other:

Bonus Question

1. Battle River-Wainwright (Doug Griffiths)

2. Yes

3. No

4. No

5. 39

6. No

7. Sue Huff

8. Raj Sherman

9. 2

10. NDP

Number of MLAs elected by each party (total: 87 MLAs)

Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 1
NDP: 7
PC:40
Wildrose:39
Other:0

Bonus Question

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
(Lac La Biche-St. Paul-Two Hills (Ray Danyluk))

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
No

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? 24

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
Hunsperger: No
Leech: Yes

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Heather Klimchuk

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
None

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
1

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
NDP

Number of MLAs elected by each party (total: 87 MLAs)
Alberta Party:0
Liberal:2
NDP:4
PC:37
Wildrose:44
Other:0

Bonus Question

1. Lac La Biche-St. Paul-Two Hills Ray Danyluk

2. NO

3. Yes

4. Yes

5. 24%

6. Ron Leech will win

7. Ray Martin

8. Alison Redford PC,

9. 3

10. NDP

Election Results Questions

Number of MLAs elected by each party (total: 87 MLAs)

Alberta Party:0
Liberal:2
NDP:7
PC:32
Wildrose:46
Other:0
Bonus Question

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
(Strathmore-Brooks (Arno Doerksen)

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
Nope

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
Yes

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? 12

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
Neither will win

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Ray Martin

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
Brian Mason NDP

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
2

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
NDP

Alberta Party: 1
Liberal:1
NDP: 4
PC: 50
Wildrose: 31
Other:0
Bonus Question

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
Edmonton – Whitemud

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
No

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? (points if you’re within +/- 5%)
35%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
No. Neither will win.

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Heather Klimchuk

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
None

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
1

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
NDP

Number of MLAs elected by each party

Alberta Party:0
Liberal:3
NDP:3
PC:41
Wildrose:40
Other:0

Bonus Questions

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
Edmonton-Whitemud

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
Yes

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding?
23%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
Neither

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Heather Klimchuk

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
None

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
1

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
NDP

Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 4
NDP: 6
PC: 39
Wildrose: 38
Other: 0

Bonus Question
1. Strathmore-Brooks
2. No
3. Yes
4. No
5. 19%
6. Leech
7. Klimchuk
8. Sherman
9. 1
10. NDP

Number of MLAs elected by each party

Alberta Party:0
Liberal:3
NDP:4
PC:22
Wildrose:58
Other:0

Bonus Questions

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
Spruce Grove-St. Albert

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
No

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding?
13%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
Hunsperger: No
Leech: Yes

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Ray Martin

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
None, but Sherman first to resign

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
2

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
NDP

Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 9
NDP: 6
PC: 25
Wildrose: 47
Other: 0

1. Whitemud
2. No
3. Yes
4. Yes
5. 18
6. No
7. Klimchuk
8. None
9. 2
10. NDP

Alberta Party: 1
Liberal: 2
NDP: 5
PC: 38
Wildrose: 41
Other: 0

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
Edmonton – Mill Woods

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
No

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
No

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding?
29%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
No. Neither wins.

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Heather Klimchuk

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
Alison Redford
Raj Sherman

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
2

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
NDP

Number of MLAs elected by each party

Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 2
NDP: 6
PC: 28
Wildrose: 51
Other: 0

Bonus Questions

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
Lac La Biche-St. Paul-Two Hills

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
Yes

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding?
14%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
Leech – Yes; Hunsperger – No

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Ray Martin

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
Redford

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
3

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
NDP

Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 1
NDP: 5
PC: 35
Wildrose: 46
Other: 0

1: Battle River-Wainwright
2: No
3: Yes
4: Yes
5: 12
6: No and No
7: Ray Martin, NDP
8: None
9: 2
10: NDP

Number of MLAs elected by each party (total: 87 MLAs)

Alberta Party: 0
Liberal: 1
NDP: 7
PC: 39
Wildrose: 40
Other: 0

Bonus Question

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
(2008 results here; candidate list here; top ridings last time: Vermilion-Lloydminster (Lloyd Snelgrove – not running), Battle River-Wainwright (Doug Griffiths), Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville (Ed Stelmach – not running), Bonnyville-Cold Lake (Genia Leskiw), Strathmore-Brooks (Arno Doerksen), Lac La Biche-St. Paul-Two Hills (Ray Danyluk))
Lac La Biche-St. Paul

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
(Morton won with 57% of the vote last time, but 308.com projects 22-point Wildrose win)
No

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
(Redford beat the Liberals by 3% last election, and 308.com projects her to beat the Wildrose by 3%)
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
(As a PC, Sherman defeated the Liberals 54% to 30% in 2008)
No

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? (points if you’re within +/- 5%)
(Polls show them under 5% province-wide, but they’ve targeted a pair of Edmonton constituencies, including the one in Q7)
20%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
(308.com projects Hunsberger to lose, but has Leech in a virtual dead heat)
Hunsperger: no
Leech: yes

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
(Candidates: Sue Huff AP, Bruce Miller Lib, Ray Martin NDP, Heather Klimchuk PC, Don Koziak WR; 2008 vote: PC 40%, Lib 39%, NDP 15%, WR 2%)
Ray Martin

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
(Alison Redford PC, Danielle Smith WR, Raj Sherman Lib, Brian Mason NDP, Glenn Taylor AP)
Raj Sherman

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
(They’re running 3 candidates, the PCs are running 3 candidates, the Greens have 1 candidate, and there are 6 independents; full list here)
3

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
(current polls have them effectively tied)
NDP

Alberta Party: 1
Liberal: 8
NDP: 9
PC: 42
Wildrose: 27
Other:0
Bonus Question

1. Battle River-Wainwright
2. no
3. yes
4. yes
5. 33
6. Hunsperger no Leech no
7. Ray Martin NDP
8. none
9. 1
10. NDP?

Alberta Party: 1
Liberal:8
NDP: 2
PC: 41
Wildrose:35
Other:0

Bonus Question

1. The constituency where the PC candidate will earn their highest percentage of the popular vote:
Calgary Greenway – Manmeet Bhullar

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected – NO

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected – YES

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected – YES

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding? – 10%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat? – YES

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora? – KLIMCHUCK

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote? – NONE

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win? – NONE

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP? – GRITS

Number of MLAs elected by each party (total: 87 MLAs)

00 – Alberta Party
03 – Liberal
05 – NDP
26 – PC
53 – Wildrose

1. Battle River-Wainwright (Doug Griffiths)

2. Will PC MLA Ted Morton be re-elected in Chestermere-Rockyview?
Dear God I hope not, but I think, yes he will.

3. Will Premier Alison Redford be re-elected in Calgary-Elbow?
Yes

4. Will Liberal Party leader Raj Sherman be re-elected in Edmonton-Meadowlark?
Yes

5. What will the highest vote percentage for the Alberta Party be in a riding?
19%

6. Will either Allan Hunsperger (“gays burn in hell”) or Ron Leech (“being white is an advantage”) win their seat?
Yes, both will win – sadly.

7. Who will be elected in Edmonton-Glenora?
Ray Martin NDP – although my choice is Sue Huff

8. Which party leaders will announce plans to resign within 48 hours of the vote?
None

9. How many of the 3 senate positions will the Wildrose Party win?
1

10. Who will get more votes – Liberals or NDP?
Liberals, but the NDP will get more seats

AB party: 0
Lib:4
NDP:5
PC:32
WR:46
Other:0

1. Bonnyville-Cold Lake
2. No
3. Yes
4. Yes
5. 18%
6. No, neither
7. PC’s Heather Climchuk
8. Redford
9. 1
10. NDP

PC: up to 43
WR: up to 37
Libs: up to 7
NDP: up to 7
ABP: up to 1.

I know this is more than 87 seats, I am estimating what I think the total wins will be. In a perfect world, the vote will be split amongst the right and then there will be a LIberal-NDP coalition government. One can dream.

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