Wildrose Party leader Danielle Smith and her candidates across Alberta will be cheering this morning when they see the results of a Forum Research poll showing their party with 41% support province-wide. Another poll, released by Leger Marketing this morning, shows the Wildrose Party with 34%, closely trailing Premier Alison Redford‘s Progressive Conservatives, who sat at 37% support.
These two polls differ in methodology. Forum used an interactive voice response telephone survey (push button) that interviewed 1069 Albertans on the day the election was called. Leger used a traditional telephone poll that interviews 1,215 Albertans in the four days before the election campaign was called. The Forum poll has a margin of error of +/- 3% and the Leger poll +/- 2.8%.
Polls released by Forum Research, Leger Marketing, Think HQ Public Affairs, and Ipsos-Reid have been released since the election was called on Monday, March 26, and have included a range of results:
Progressive Conservative: 31% – 38%
Wildrose Party: 33% – 41%
Liberal Party: 11% – 13%
Alberta NDP: 11% – 13%
Alberta Party: 2%
It is still very early in the election campaign, but polls will be very worrying for Premier Redford’s Tory Party, which has formed government for the past 41 years in Alberta.